Elon Musk is signaling that Tesla is near reaching its restrict with its HW3 onboard self-driving laptop regardless of having but to ship on its self-driving promise.
In 2016, Musk introduced that every one Tesla automobiles constructed going ahead have “all of the {hardware} to allow self-driving”. At one level, he even specified “degree 5 self-driving”, which is the very best degree and means able to driving wherever, anytime, below any situation.
Shortly after this declare, the CEO signaled that Tesla was probably mistaken because it may need extra computing energy onboard the automobile to run the self-driving system.
That’s when Tesla launched {Hardware} 3 (HW3).
Musk claimed that this laptop would allow self-driving and everybody who purchased the Full Self-Driving (FSD) bundle on prior automobiles, would get a pc retrofit free of charge (or reasonably included within the value they paid for FSD).
Since then, Tesla has launched HW4, a extra highly effective onboard laptop for its automobiles.
Tesla just isn’t providing prior automobiles a retrofit with this new laptop because it insists that HW3 is succesful to realize self-driving by means of future software program replace.
Final yr, Musk went so far as claiming that FSD will get higher on HW3 first as Tesla’s “focus must be on getting FSD on HW3 working tremendous nicely and offered internationally”. He went as fas as claiming that FSD efficiency on “HW4 will lag at the very least 6 months behind HW3” due to this.
That remark was lower than a yr in the past, however the state of affairs has already reversed.
In new feedback amid the discharge of Tesla FSD v12.5, Musk defined why solely HW4 automobiles are actually getting the discharge this week:
We’re specializing in simply Mannequin Y with HW4 for the preliminary launch. Be sure that works nicely, then broaden. This has the 5X enhance in parameters. HW3 would run the identical parameter depend, however requires additional work to optimize the code.
The CEO confirmed that HW3 will get the identical launch, however Tesla now has to optimize it as a way to run on the lesser {hardware}.
This indicators that Tesla is reaching the boundaries of HW3 and in contrast to what he mentioned final yr, HW4 is now being prioritized.
Moreover, Musk added that Tesla “has but to unlock the total potential of HW4”, which might get “as much as an additional 8X enhance in parameters.”
However what about HW3?
Electrek’s Take
That is one among Tesla’s largest liabilities. The CEO has publicly promised degree 5 autonomy on all automobiles produced since 2016. Tesla has already been confirmed mistaken with HW2, and now HW3 is seemingly reaching its restrict.
That is pretty clear from the details that Tesla must optimize the code to run on HW3 whereas HW4 seemingly nonetheless has a number of room to develop and that it reversed its plan to have HW4 code lag behind HW3 because it focuses on getting every little thing working on HW3 first because the individuals who personal these automobiles have been ready longer.
At this level, it’s extremely probably that Tesla won’t ever be capable to ship on its self-driving promise on the HW3 automobile.
What would that appear to be? We don’t even know what number of HW3 automobiles there are on the market as Tesla has steadily made the shift over a number of years.
What do you assume? Tell us within the remark part under.