Elon Musk lastly admits Tesla’s HW3 may not assist full self-driving and that he doesn’t truly know what it can take.
Tens of millions of Tesla autos are outfitted with HW3 computer systems.
For the higher a part of the yr, we’ve been reporting that Tesla can’t obtain its promise of “full self-driving on HW3, and it wants to come back clear about it.
CEO Elon Musk lastly took a primary step in that course throughout the convention name following the discharge of Tesla’s Q3 2024 monetary outcomes.
The CEO stated when requested about Tesla reaching its promised unsupervised self-driving on HW3 autos:
We aren’t 100% positive. HW4 has a number of instances the potential of HW3. It’s simpler to get issues to work on HW4 and it takes a whole lot of efforts to squeeze that into HW3. There’s some likelihood that HW3 doesn’t obtain the security stage that enables for unsupervised FSD.
That is the primary time that Musk admitted that HW3 may doubtlessly not assist unsupervised self-driving.
Nonetheless, as we beforehand reported, Tesla is presently utilizing each NN nodes on HW3 despite the fact that one was initially meant as redundancy, which you have to obtain Tesla’s promised stage 4-5 autonomy.
This makes it just about not possible for Tesla to ship on its promise as Tesla would want to maintain creating software program to resolve self-driving, which continues to be removed from engaging in, after which not solely have it on HW3, however optimize it sufficient to suit on a single node.
He stated that Tesla would provide a pc improve if Tesla discovered for positive that it couldn’t ship on HW3:
If that seems to be the case, we are going to improve those that purchased HW3 FSD without spending a dime. And we’ve designed the system to be upgradable.
Whereas the system is certainly “upgradable”, as Musk himself beforehand said, HW3 can’t be upgraded to HW4 because it presently exist.
He stated it wouldn’t make sense, and he’s proper. We all know that HW4 makes use of completely different energy and digicam harnesses. The entire laptop can also be a special type issue that might make it onerous to suit the place the HW3 is put in.
Tesla would want to design a brand new model of the HW4 that may be retrofitted into HW3 vehicles.
Musk insists that HW3 cameras are “succesful”, despite the fact that HW4 cameras have about 5x extra megapixels, which might level to him seeing the compute energy as the larger challenge.
Electrek’s Take
I feel the extra important remark is that this:
“We don’t truly know the reply to that.”
Once more, I’d enterprise to say that this isn’t true. They know the reply and the reply isn’t any for the explanations said above, however even when that was an correct assertion, it ought to be worrying.
Elon admits that he, or Tesla actually, doesn’t know exactly what it takes to get to full autonomy. That ought to be clear to anybody who has been following his feedback on it for years. He stated yearly for the final 5 years that Tesla would resolve autonomy by the top of the yr.
Now, he’s assured that it will occur subsequent yr, and we should always imagine him. Why?
The info are that Tesla was improper about the truth that HW2.5 is able to self-driving. It was improper about HW3 being able to self-driving, and it is rather seemingly improper about HW4 being able to self-driving. On the very least, it gained’t know for positive till it solves it.
If that’s the case, why is Tesla promoting the “Full Self-Driving” bundle and saying it can occur subsequent yr?
